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CCRI-水泥行业月度运行分析报告(201604)

发布时间:2015-05-01 10:35:46 来源:本站 浏览:5373

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2016年第一季度全国GDP同比增长6.7%,较去年全年继续下滑0.2个百分点。投资再次成为推动经济增长的主要动力,全国固定资产投资同比增长10.7%,较去年全年提高0.5个百分点。一季度水泥产量累计4.44亿吨,同比增长3.5%,结束了连续11个月的产量同比下降。全国水泥价格呈现先降后升走势,3月份价格开始反弹,长三角地区的多轮价格调整引领全国水泥价格不断回升。

   1.宏观

玩的棋牌   2016NIANDIYIJIDUQUANGUOGDPTONGBIZENGZHANG6.7%,JIAOQUNIANQUANNIANJIXUXIAHUA0.2GEBAIFENDIAN。CONGQUANGUO31GESHENGSHIQUJINGJIZENGZHANGQINGKUANGLAIKAN,27GESHENGSHIYIJIDUGDPZENGSUDIYUQUNIANQUANNIANSHUIPING,ZHIYOULIANGGESHENGFENJIAOQUNIANQUANNIANYOUXIAOFUZENGZHANG。YIJIDU,TOUZIZAICICHENGWEITUIDONGJINGJIZENGZHANGDEZHUYAODONGLI,QUANGUOGUDINGZICHANTOUZITONGBIZENGZHANG10.7%,JIAOQUNIANQUANNIANTIGAO0.5GEBAIFENDIAN,QIZHONGJIJIANTOUZISHIXIAN19.6%DETONGBIZHANGFU,FANGDICHANTOUZISHIXIAN6.2%DETONGBIZENGZHANG,JUNJIAOQUNIANQUANNIANYOUXIANZHUTIGAO。

  CONGDIFANGJINGJISHUJUKEYIKANCHU,GEDIZAIXINXINGCHANYE、、DIANZISHANGWUDENGFANGMIANPINFANFALI,ZHENGZAIXINGCHENGXINDEJINGJIZENGZHANGJI,TONGSHICHUANTONGCHANYEGAIZAOSHENGJIYEJIAKUAISUDU,TOUZIJIEGOUCHUXIANXINDEBIANHUA。ZHEIXIEJIJIBIANHUAYOULIYUGUOJIAJINGJIZOUXIANGKECHIXUFAZHANZHILU,SHENGJIBAN“ZHONGGUOSUDU”ZHENGZAIFASHENG。

 1.1 GDP

  2016NIANDIYIJIDU,QUANGUOGDPTONGBIZENGSUWEI6.7%,YANXULEQUNIANDEXIAXINGZOUSHI。FENCHANYELAIKAN,DIYICHANYEGDPZENGSUCHUXIANJIDUXINGXIAHUA,DISANCHANYEGDPZENGSUYECHUXIANXIAXINGZOUSHI,DIERCHANYEGDPZENGSULVEXIANWENDING。FENXINGYEKAN,BIANHUAJIAODADESHIJINRONGYEJIFANGDICHANYE,JINRONGYEGDPZENGSUCHUXIAN“YAOZHAN”ZOUSHI,YIJIDUWEI8.1%,JIAOQUNIANQUANNIANXIAJIANG7.8GEBAIFENDIAN;FANGDICHANYEZECHUXIANDAFUSHANGZHANGXINGQING,YIJIDUGDPZENGSUWEI9.1%,TOUZIYUXIAOSHOUSHUANGXIANGXIANZHUHUINUANLINGQIDUIGUOMINJINGJIZENGZHANGLADONGLIZENGQIANG。

玩的棋牌   TU1:QUANGUOJISANDACHANYEGDPLEIJITONGBIZENGSUZOUSHITU(%)

  SHUJULAIYUAN:GUOJIATONGJIJU、ZHONGGUOSHUINIWANGYANJIUYUAN

玩的棋牌   CONGGESHENGSHIJINGJIZENGZHANGQINGKUANGLAIKAN,YUQUNIANTONGQIXIANGBI,13GESHENGSHIGDPZENGSUXIAJIANG,4GESHENGSHICHIPING,14GESHENGSHIGDPZENGSUSHANGZHANG;YUQUNIANQUANNIANXIANGBI,27GESHENGSHIGDPZENGSUXIAJIANG,2GESHENGSHICHIPING,2GESHENGSHISHANGZHANG。QIZHONGZENGSUZUIGAODERENGRANSHIZHONGQING、XIZANGHEGUIZHOU,ZHEISANGESHENGSHIQUGDPZENGSUCHAOGUO10%;LIAONINGZECHUXIANFUZENGZHANG,YIJIDUGDPZENGSUWEI-1.3%,LIAONING、SHANXI、HEILONGJIANG、JILIN、HEBEIWEILIEGDPZENGSUDAOSHUQIANWUMING。

  1.2 PMI

玩的棋牌   3YUE,GUOJIATONGJIJUPMIYUCAIXINZHONGGUOPMIJUNCHENGXIANMINGXIANHUISHENGZOUSHI,GUOJIATONGJIJUPMIHUISHENGZHIRONGKUXIANZHISHANG,HUANBISHANGZHANG1.2GEDIAN;CAIXINZHONGGUOPMIHUANBISHANGSHENG1.7GEDIANZHI49.7%。CONGGUOJIATONGJIJUPMIFENXIANGZHIBIAOLAIKAN,WULUNSHISHENGCHANHAISHIDINGDAN、CHUKOU,YIJIYUANCAILIAOGOUJINJIAGEDOUYOUJIJIBIANHUA,XINDINGDAN、XINCHUKOUDINGDANZHIBIAOJUNCHENGXIANHUANBISHANGZHANG2.8GEBAIFENDIANZHIRONGKUXIANZHISHANGDEBIAOXIAN,YUANCAILIAOGOUJINJIAGEZHIBIAOHUANBISHANGZHANG5.1GEBAIFENDIAN。SUOYOUZHIBIAODOUXIANSHI3YUEFENZHIZAOYECHUXIANMINGXIANDEFUSUJIXIANG,DANCONGBUTONGLEIXINGQIYEPMIZHIBIAOXIANLAIKAN,XIAOXINGQIYEDEZIJINJINZHANGZHUANGKUANGYOUSUOJIAJU,QIYESHENGCHANJINGYINGRENGMIANLINJIAODADEZIJINJINZHANG、SHICHANGXUQIUBUZUHELAODONGLICHENGBENSHANGZHANGDEYALI。

玩的棋牌   TU2:PMIZOUSHITU(%)

玩的棋牌   SHUJULAIYUAN:GUOJIATONGJIJU、WIND、ZHONGGUOSHUINIWANGYANJIUYUAN

玩的棋牌   CAIXINZHONGGUOPMITONGYANGXIANSHISHOUDINGDANZONGLIANGHUISHENGDEDAIDONGCHANCHUCHUXIANSHANGSHENG,BUGUOQIYERENGZAIJIXUSHOUSUOYONGGONG,HAIWAIXUQIURENGRANPIRUAN,XINCHUKOUYEWUYILIANXU4GEYUEQUJIANG。CAIXINZHIKUZHUANJIABIAOSHISUOYOUFENXIANGZHIBIAOJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOGAISHAN,BIAOMINGQIANQIDECIJIZHENGCEXIAOGUOZAIZHUJIANFAHUI,JIANYUDANGQIANZHONGGUODEFUSUTAISHIRENGBUMINGLANG,ZHENGFUYOUKENENGJIXUBAOCHISHIDUDECIJIZHENGCEYINLINGSHICHANGXINXIN。

  1.3 CPI、PPI

玩的棋牌   3YUEFEN,CPITONGBIZHANGFUYUSHANGYUECHIPING,HUANBIXIAJIANG0.4%,HUANBIXIAHUAZHUYAOSHISHOUXIANHUOSHIPINHEBUFENFUWUXIANGMUJIAGEHUILUODEYINGXIANG。CHUNJIEGUOHOUXIANHUOSHIPINJIAGEDEHUILUOSHIDAOZHICPIHUANBIXIAJIANGDEZHUYAOYUANYIN,TONGBILAIKAN,SHIPINJIAGEZHANGFUJIAODA,3YUETONGBIZHANGFUWEI7.6%,JIAO2YUESHANGSHENG0.3GEBAIFENDIAN。

  3月PPI同比降幅继续收窄,随着原材料价格的回升,生产资料PPI同比降幅较上月收窄0.8个百分点。环比来看,PPI较上月上涨0.5%,是2014年1月以来首次上涨。3月,部分工业行业价格涨幅扩大,例如黑色金属冶炼和压延加工、有色金属冶炼和压延加工价格环比分别上涨4.9%、2.3%,同时部分工业行业价格止跌回升。  

  TU3:CPI、PPIDANGYUETONGBIZENGSUZOUSHITU(%)

  SHUJULAIYUAN:GUOJIATONGJIJU、ZHONGGUOSHUINIWANGYANJIUYUAN

 1.4 M0、M1、M2

玩的棋牌   3YUEMO,GUANGYIHUOBI(M2)YUE144.62WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG13.4%,ZENGSUFENBIEBISHANGYUEMOHEQUNIANTONGQIGAO0.1GEHE1.8GEBAIFENDIAN;XIAYIHUOBI(M1)YUE41.16WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG22.1%,ZENGSUFENBIEBISHANGYUEMOHEQUNIANTONGQIGAO4.7GEHE19.2GEBAIFENDIAN。YIJIDUJINGTOUFANGXIANJIN1435YIYUAN,3YUEDANGYUEXIANJINJINGHUISHOU4770YIYUAN。

  TU4:M1、M2DANGYUETONGBIJIDANGYUEXINZENGRENMINBIDAIKUANYUXIANJINJINGTOUFANGLIANGZOUSHITU(YIYUAN,%)

  SHUJULAIYUAN:ZHONGGUORENMINYINXING、ZHONGGUOSHUINIWANGYANJIUYUAN

玩的棋牌   YIJIDU,RENMINBIDAIKUANZENGJIA4.61WANYIYUAN,WAIBIDAIKUANJIANSHAO216YIMEIYUAN;QIZHONGZHONGZHANGQIRENMINBIDAIKUANZENGJIA3.17WANYIYUAN,JIAOQUNIANTONGQIZENGJIA1WANYI。

玩的棋牌   CHUBUTONGJI,JIEZHIDAO3YUEMOSHEHUIRONGZIGUIMOCUNLIANGWEI144.75WANYIYUAN,QIZHONGDUISHITIJINGJIFAFANGDERENMINBIDAIKUANYUEWEI97.42WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG14.5%。

ZHUANZAI:ZHONGGUOSHUINIWANG

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